Google and the Candidates: How Super Tuesday Looked through the Search Giant’s Eyes

Google Logo LargeIt’s been well known that search engines and social media sites have the ability to help predict the outcome of national and world events. A deep look into the trends can help to shed light on what will soon come to pass. It’s far from exact but has been shown to be fairly accurate.

The results of the GOP primaries on Super Tuesday were accurately predicted by Google in most cases. By tracking the buzz, the results matched pretty well. Despite Mitt Romney “winning” Super Tuesday in delegate count, it’s clear that he was not given a full victory do to losses in places that a front runner should be winning at this stage in the process.

Rick Santorum, who had the most searches done on Google in the days leading up to Super Tuesday, was considered by many to be the real winner by not losing as much as he could have. It’s semantics, but the data visualization below that Google did is still compelling.

Click to enlarge.

Google and the GOP

I am the Problem with the Republican Party

Image Credit: runluaurun

Ever since the GOP primary season started, I’ve been very displeased with Mitt Romney as the Republican Establishment’s anointed choice. He is not a conservative, but perhaps more importantly his health care record with Romneycare will absolutely prohibit him from being able to defeat Barack Obama in November. Conservatives don’t like him. Moderates don’t trust him. The only people who seem to like him are liberals because they see what the Republican Establishment is unwilling to see, that Mitt Romney is a fraud that will be exposed by the tremendous campaigning machine the Obama’s team will unleash on him if he is indeed the nominee.

The reason that he hasn’t been knocked off his pedestal thus far is me. That’s not a statement exemplifying delusions of grandeur.  It’s what I represent as that loud but unconsolidated group of conservatives who are so strongly opposed to Romney that we are looking to Santorum or Gingrich (or even Paul) to step up. I have “pulled a Romney” several times in the last few months casting my support to the Conservative du jour who seems to have a chance.

That’s the problem.

Any of the candidates other than Herman Cain had a chance if only we would have united around one of them. It was Bachmann. Then it was Perry. Then it was Cain. Then it was Gingrich. Then it was Santorum. Then it was Gingrich again. Then it was Santorum again.

My indecision and the indecision of people like me have propelled Romney to the likely victory he is now clawing his way towards. In the end, he may be better for the country than Obama and that’s another part of the indecision that is haunting the party. Many who have voted or plan to vote for Romney are doing so reluctantly because we want the fighting to end and for the party to concentrate on the true foe. We want to prize. We want the presidency.

Right here, right now, I’m drawing the unpopular line. I will not vote for Romney. Many will say that it’s a statement and position that further damages the party. They are right. Unfortunately, they are also wrong. Voting for Mitt Romney will hurt the Republican party and the country more than another 4 years of Obama. His chances are mathematically lighter than either Santorum or Gingrich to be able to beat Obama simply because he cannot win the important states.

If he is able to win somehow in November (anything is possible in politics, particularly when Obama is involved), he will do damage to the party in ways that will take at least 8 years to fix much in the same way that Bush Sr. did in 1988-1992. He will hurt what has been built up recently in congress by pulling us away from the possibility of a majority in both the House and the Senate. He will put a Democrat back in the White House in 2016 and likely again in 2020 because of the debacle that his presidency would be.

Ron Paul, for all of his good ideas and intentions, is also in the same boat. His foreign policy ideas are impossible to support.

This leaves Santorum and Gingrich. The line in the sand has been drawn. Who will step up and earn my support from now until the end?

Cartoon: Cheaper Gas Choices

This cartoon by the Washington Examiner really brings to light the attitude circulating through Washington DC right now as we seem to have our priorities a little misplaced.

Cheaper Gas Choices

Secularism is Taking Over Britain. America is Next.

British Secularism

The shift is already apparent around the world, but in Britain, it’s more pronounced and scientifically proven. A recent report published in the DailyMail (not the best place for “news” but this one sticks to the facts) shows that the Christian and Jewish population are declining while atheists, agnostics, Muslims, and other religious perspectives are on the rise.

This is likely echoed around the world and was clearly predicted in the Bible. It’s happening in America, though no census data has been released on it just yet.

It’s a warning. The end is near.

General Election Scenarios Favor @RickSantorum

GOP Election Scenario Map

With 22 states very likely to vote for the Republican candidate and 19 states plus Washington DC very likely to vote for President Obama, there are 9 states that will be at the center of each campaign once the Republican nominee is selected.

For a Republican victory, it’s easy to see that Santorum would have an easier road to the White House than Romney.

In Colorado, Iowa, and Ohio, Santorum fairs better.  In Virginia and Florida, Romney is the stronger candidate. However, Florida may be a moot point as it will likely stick with Obama as it did in 2008 unless Marco Rubio is the GOP Vice Presidential nominee. In that scenario, Republicans would have a great shot at picking up the state.

This leaves Pennsylvania, which voted for Obama behind strong campaigning by Scranton-born Joe Biden. Santorum can deliver Pennsylvania. Romney cannot.

The “established” delegate count puts the Republicans at 180 and Obama at 232. Add Santorum’s Pennsylvania delegates and Marco Rubio’s Florida delegates and it brings his total to 229. If he can deliver Ohio, Indiana, Iowa, and Colorado, places where his chances are stronger than Romney’s, he would squeak out a victory even if Obama retains New Mexico, Virginia, and North Carolina.

With Romney losing in Pennsylvania, he would have to win South Carolina (where he didn’t even win the primary) plus either Virginia or New Mexico to win. This is assuming he is also able to deliver Ohio, Colorado, and Iowa, places where Santorum is more popular.

If the Republican party’s goal is to defeat Barack Obama, there is very little room for doubt that mathematically speaking, Santorum is the much better bet.