Clinton: “Don’t let anybody tell you it’s corporations and business that create jobs.”

Hillary Clinton

Her jokes are getting funnier and her math is getting fuzzier. That seems to be the path that Hillary Clinton is traveling as she prepares for her 2016 presidential campaign with her latest sound bite from the pre-campaign trail.

“Don’t let anybody tell you it’s corporations and business that create jobs.” she said to a friendly audience supporting Martha Coakley’s gubernatorial campaign.

She then went on to attack the concept of trickle down economics. When neither statements drew applause of agreement, she resorted to a joke about her husband bringing arithmetic to Washington DC, which drew the intended laughs and changed the subject quickly.

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Why Did the Napoleon Harris Story Get No Traction?

Napoleon Harris

Former NFL linebacker and current Illinois state senator Napoleon Harris is like many politicians. He has multiple houses spread across the country. The problem with Harris’ multiple addresses is that only one of them is in the district that he represents and a report from the Chicago Tribune brings into question whether he ever lives at the address at all.

State law states that a representative must reside in the district that he/she represents. It makes sense. The district is considered a poor one with high poverty and crime rates. His nearby address where his wife apparently answers the door is in a much nicer area. Shouldn’t this be a problem? Shouldn’t political activists, his primary competitors, or even local Republicans be fighting to challenge his eligibility to represent the district for a second term?

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Mathematically, Santorum Has Easier Road to Beat Obama than Romney

Barack Obama

Something has been really weird about this GOP primary season. It’s easy to understand why the Republican Establishment has supported Mitt Romney from the start based upon their support of previous moderates like John McCain and Bob Dole. What hasn’t been as clear is why the Obama campaign team has been working on helping Romney get the nomination through their actions (or lack of actions in many cases).

Conventional wisdom would say that it would serve the Obama campaign to prolong the GOP primary season for as long as possible, allowing the candidates to soften up each other through attacks and drain the money that will eventually be pointed at Obama. The fact that they have not started to attack frontrunner Romney in full force in hopes of casting doubts on his abilities and extending the race has been viewed as a mistake by many analysts.

It has not been a mistake. They simply noticed something that the Republican Establishment, mainstream media, and GOP voters hadn’t: Rick Santorum is more popular than Romney in swing states.

Despite public perception, the winner of the presidential election is determined by a relatively-small number of states. Fourteen states are solidly Democrat and have voted such in nearly every election since 1988. Nineteen states are solidly Republican, with Indiana being the only one that Obama was able to pull in 2008. The other 17 states are up for grabs.

Among those are Pennsylvania, Ohio, Colorado, Iowa, and Minnesota. Assuming that Santorum wins Ohio and Pennsylvania, these are states that Obama won in 2008 that would more likely swing to Santorum (Pennsylvania is guaranteed) than they would to Romney. Romney brings New Mexico, Nevada, and Michigan.

Romney’s victory in Florida is the toss up, but Marco Rubio as the Vice President for either candidate will help win that state regardless of whether it’s Romney or Santorum. If anything, Romney might make the mistake of bringing on a more conservative VP, giving Florida to the Democrats again.

If Santorum wins the Republican states and pulls the five above plus Florida, he would only need to win the right-leaning Indiana (which Obama won in 2008) OR one of the three other swing states that George W. Bush won in 2004 (Virginia, North Carolina, or Nevada) to defeat Obama in November. Romney’s road to the White House would require more unlikely victories to become a reality.

In that scenario for Santorum, it would very likely be another case as with George W. Bush where he would receive fewer votes overall but would win the right states to take the presidency.

Mathematically speaking, Santorum is the tougher candidate against Obama. The Republican Establishment has failed once again at basic math.

The Broken System: Santorum Leads Nationally But Everything Hinges On Michigan

Santorum Over Romney

It’s an antiquated system designed before the internet and with the intention of allowing voters and delegates to see their nominees in person. It harkens to a day when trains crossed from sea to sea with candidates waving at people who were lining up just for a glimpse. Those days are behind us. The system should be as well.

The grind of the nomination process (and the state-based election system altogether) no longer make sense. Currently, Rick Santorum leads all GOP nominees in national polls, but most of those voters will not have a voice. If Michigan goes to Romney, this race has 10 days left. For people living in states who have primaries after Super Tuesday on March 6th, your votes won’t make a difference.

A win for Romney will give him the momentum he needs to wrap up the nomination. The fight will continue for a long time, possibly up to the convention, but everyone other than the hardcore supporters of each remaining candidate will lose interest.

How can someone better-represent a party’s choice but not have a chance of reaching the majority of the voters? Why is a vote in Michigan more powerful than a vote in Utah, a state that has more delegates but who has very little chance to make an impact with their primary in late June?

According to the most recent USA Today poll, Santorum is ahead of President Obama head-to-head by 3% while Romney is tied with the President. As you can see in the graphic above, Santorum also beats Romney in a nationwide poll. The fact that we still have this ludicrous system is asinine.

We have television. We have the internet. We have ways to see each candidate and have them speak to the people in each state. The primary system should be consolidated to one that makes more sense in the digital age. Standard conservative thinking is to allow the states to do what they feel like doing to select delegates, but for once we’re deviating from the norm. Regardless of who wins today, the fact that voters in Michigan are more empowered than voters in other states is absolute proof of a broken system.

The Drudge Report is Doing Whatever it can to Give Obama a Second Term

Drudge Report

For a “conservative” news aggregator, the Drudge Report is doing its best impersonation of a liberal mainstream media opinion-sculptor as the clear lean towards the “Republican Establishment Candidacy” of Mitt Romney. This goes against the what the largest chunk of Republican voters want and it’s only one piece of the anti-Newt puzzle.

What is it about Romney that makes so many conservative publications, influencers, and analysts support him? Is the Republican Establishment really that scared of their own ideas that they are willing to support someone who hasn’t pushed for them in the past? Are they serious about attacking Obamacare, something that Romney has zero credibility to accomplish? Is the vote of moderates so important to them that they’ll turn their back on the conservative base?

Drudge WivesTo the right, you’ll see a carefully-crafted and impeccably-placed set of two articles that declare “news” of the wives in play. Even the images are well-chosen to give the impression that one candidate is moving up and one candidate is on his way out. It’s a despicable display of lack of journalistic standards from a publication that makes its money influencing the very base that it has turned its back on.

Florida is the last hope for the country. With little chance of Santorum or Paul breaking through to the top, Gingrich is the last conservative who has a chance to win the GOP nomination. Despite 32% of Republican voters supporting him nationwide versus 24% supporting Romney, the Republican Establishment led by Drudge, Fox News, and Romney’s cronies in Washington are trying to shift the balance of power over to the Massachusetts moderate. They aren’t interested in running with someone who displays the type of leadership that Republican voters want. They are only interested in trying once again to put a John McCain or a Bob Dole up as their horse of the year.

It didn’t work then and it won’t work now. Newt Gingrich is the only GOP candidate who has what it takes to beat Obama as well as a chance to win the nomination. Romney has neither the skills nor the track record to win in November, assuring a 2nd term for Obama.

The Republican Establishment Should Stop Being “Pragmatic” and Start Listening to its Base

Gallup Republican Poll

There are two elements at work in the nation and through Florida in particular right now that are counteracting each other. On one hand, you have Fox News, Republican strategists, and the left-leaning mainstream media doing whatever it can to make Mitt Romney the GOP choice to go against Barack Obama in November. On the other hand, you have the largest chunk of Republican voters nationwide supporting Newt Gingrich.

If the Republican establishment could get out of its own way and listen to the voice of its base, we have an opportunity to have someone we can passionately stand behind and rally around against Obama instead of another Bob Dole or John McCain moderate who simply cannot win once the full force of Obama’s campaign team takes aim.

It’s happened in the past. Those who think they know what’s best for the party work behind the scenes to get the endorsements for the candidate they feel can win the moderates on both sides of center. This year’s weak contender is Romney. He has a nice smile, decent debate skills, and proved that he could win in one of the most liberal states in the union. There’s nothing wrong with him. There’s simply not enough right with him.

Gingrich is far from perfect. His reputation as someone who “thinks big” is, for some reason, being positioned as a negative. He has been in the center of turmoil for the last two decades and has character flaws that terrify moderates who want a safer path towards removing Obama from the White House. Their thinking is backwards. What the Republican party and the country in general needs is someone who is fearless, intellectually-driven, and willing to do whatever it takes to pull the country from the precipice.

In the latest Gallup poll, Gingrich is leading 32% to 24% over Romney amongst likely Republican voters. These are the numbers that the Republican Establishment should be looking at rather than listening to their experts who say Romney is the better choice to get the votes from the middle. In the last three decades, we’ve proven time and time again that big-idea Republicans can win while moderate-appeasing token candidates do not.

Let’s take a look at the past 3 decades:

  • 1980: Ronald Reagan was a true conservative who was able to bridge the gap to the left through big ideas.
  • 1984: Reagan’s success fueled the simple question, “Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?”
  • 1988: George H.W. Bush won against a weak candidate and from the momentum of a country that witnessed what conservative principals could do for the US.
  • 1992: Bush lost when moderate choices on taxes rallied the country against him. We read his lips and didn’t like what they were really saying.
  • 1996: A true Gingrich-style conservative should have been able to easily win against the lukewarm success that Bill Clinton had in his first term. Instead, we had Bob Dole as our champion. It was a major opportunity squandered by the Republican Establishment.
  • 2000: George W. Bush ran and won through the support of a conservative base that rallied behind his ideas.
  • 2004: The war on terror and a weak Democratic candidate helped keep Bush in office as the “lesser of two evils” despite a brand of moderate economic policies that would have tanked him had the circumstances been different.
  • 2008: Again, the Republican Establishment felt their weaknesses and put up a moderate in McCain against a far-left candidate. The results have been disastrous for the country.

Any time the GOP has stopped trying to win through moderation, they have succeeded. The only moderate victory was 2004 (in 2000, we still saw Bush as a conservative) and it was based on circumstance rather than substance.

To Fox News, GOP experts, and the meddlers in the mainstream media who fear a Gingrich presidency, please get out of the way. The country is ready to be bold again. The country needs to be strong again. Obama has weakened us. Romney will not do much better.

Gingrich is our best chance for turning the country around. The Republican voters around the country know it. Why won’t the Republican Establishment listen to its own base?

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JD RuckerJD is the voice of technology and social media for Conservative Haven and is Editor at Soshable, a Social Media Blog. He is a husband and father of 3 living in Southern California.